Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.002140 0.002258 0.002382 0.002524 0.002683 0.002855 0.003057
2025-02-16 0.001952 0.002114 0.002293 0.002510 0.002766 0.003066 0.003449
2025-02-23 0.001856 0.002051 0.002276 0.002561 0.002918 0.003362 0.003979
2025-03-02 0.001744 0.001955 0.002205 0.002532 0.002959 0.003521 0.004355
2025-03-09 0.001643 0.001861 0.002126 0.002479 0.002958 0.003615 0.004653
2025-03-16 0.001601 0.001834 0.002124 0.002524 0.003086 0.003899 0.005288
2025-03-23 0.001560 0.001805 0.002115 0.002555 0.003195 0.004169 0.005971
2025-03-30 0.001503 0.001751 0.002070 0.002529 0.003217 0.004304 0.006449
2025-04-06 0.001438 0.001683 0.002001 0.002466 0.003174 0.004324 0.006707
2025-04-13 0.001392 0.001638 0.001961 0.002438 0.003183 0.004431 0.007179
2025-04-20 0.001318 0.001553 0.001861 0.002319 0.003036 0.004247 0.006947
2025-04-27 0.001288 0.001525 0.001838 0.002312 0.003067 0.004387 0.007523
2025-05-04 0.001273 0.001518 0.001847 0.002355 0.003192 0.004732 0.008816
2025-05-11 0.001246 0.001494 0.001831 0.002358 0.003250 0.004961 0.009955
2025-05-18 0.001235 0.001491 0.001844 0.002409 0.003398 0.005413 0.012249
2025-05-25 0.001204 0.001458 0.001813 0.002386 0.003407 0.005561 0.013582
2025-06-01 0.001168 0.001418 0.001769 0.002340 0.003370 0.005592 0.014453
2025-06-08 0.001158 0.001414 0.001777 0.002380 0.003500 0.006066 0.018486
2025-06-15 0.001145 0.001406 0.001779 0.002408 0.003611 0.006525 0.024085
2025-06-22 0.001121 0.001379 0.001751 0.002385 0.003615 0.006693 0.028118
2025-06-29 0.001089 0.001341 0.001706 0.002328 0.003542 0.006619 0.029348
2025-07-06 0.001067 0.001317 0.001679 0.002303 0.003537 0.006749 0.034270
2025-07-13 0.001025 0.001263 0.001607 0.002195 0.003347 0.006277 0.028477